Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.189622 0.202428 0.215862 0.231040 0.247754 0.265646 0.286311
2025-06-08 0.163465 0.182281 0.203278 0.228620 0.258612 0.293275 0.336806
2025-06-15 0.148996 0.171694 0.198251 0.232024 0.274429 0.326746 0.397538
2025-06-22 0.134398 0.158600 0.187917 0.226695 0.277663 0.343913 0.439279
2025-06-29 0.121668 0.146200 0.176718 0.218349 0.275108 0.352112 0.468922
2025-07-06 0.111782 0.136356 0.167618 0.211395 0.273005 0.359819 0.497939
2025-07-13 0.107344 0.133039 0.166512 0.214732 0.284999 0.388317 0.561982
2025-07-20 0.103341 0.129903 0.165250 0.217499 0.296136 0.416511 0.629988
2025-07-27 0.099277 0.126343 0.163042 0.218546 0.304558 0.441205 0.696175
2025-08-03 0.094971 0.122143 0.159584 0.217346 0.309190 0.460049 0.755023
2025-08-10 0.090683 0.117697 0.155445 0.214709 0.311124 0.474344 0.807641
2025-08-17 0.086129 0.112625 0.150074 0.209730 0.308660 0.480488 0.844828
2025-08-24 0.082363 0.108590 0.146136 0.206921 0.309931 0.494178 0.902450
2025-08-31 0.079011 0.105016 0.142712 0.204730 0.312142 0.510099 0.969403
2025-09-07 0.077215 0.103615 0.142458 0.207611 0.323475 0.545069 1.090184
2025-09-14 0.073756 0.099572 0.137918 0.203037 0.320837 0.551684 1.142396
2025-09-21 0.069939 0.094835 0.132069 0.195873 0.312763 0.546022 1.161051
2025-09-28 0.066649 0.090768 0.127088 0.189894 0.306425 0.543303 1.187495
2025-10-05 0.065546 0.089980 0.127242 0.192763 0.317255 0.579307 1.335978
2025-10-12 0.064400 0.089069 0.127135 0.195141 0.327324 0.615207 1.498113
2025-10-19 0.063017 0.087725 0.126248 0.196041 0.334480 0.645455 1.654528
2025-10-26 0.061331 0.085838 0.124374 0.195010 0.337532 0.666228 1.786849
2025-11-02 0.059503 0.083658 0.121916 0.192744 0.337759 0.679965 1.899179